01:10.6
And my God, iconic films and roles. But sir, this might be the wrong election to run in.
01:16.3
Not 25, boss. You're only looking at maybe, at best, two to three new entrants.
01:24.8
Because all of them will be dominated. This election in particular will be dominated.
01:29.8
Maybe another topic for another show, no, Ian? Baka masyado kong hinihimay itong particular example na to.
01:36.6
Hindi, okay lang. Masikip, masikip ngayon.
01:40.6
Masikip. Siguro dalawa, tatlo na lang yan. Kasi isipin mo pa lang yung re-electionists.
01:45.5
Isipin mo yung mga natalo na ngandidato for higher office na natalo. Magse-senador yan.
01:51.4
So essentially, you're just looking at two to three.
01:54.8
Three. I'm being generous. Maybe two to three new faces, if at all.
02:00.6
And syempre, if you look at the surveys, you already know. May idea ka na kung sino itong mga new faces na ito.
02:08.0
Wala ba siyang parang template na pwedeng sundin? Kunwari, yung template na Robin Padilla ng 2022.
02:13.5
Wouldn't that also apply dito sa 2025?
02:17.5
It's a great template, no doubt. But the...
02:24.8
What I mentioned earlier, maybe perhaps Robin Padilla, Senator Robin, the number one senator in the land,
02:30.6
was really a once-in-a-lifetime blue moon phenomenon that was able to do that.
02:38.2
Probably the only, the closest example we can think of in recent memory was Ang Yumaong FPJ, the King of Philippine Cinema.
02:46.3
Pero tignan mo naman ang gravitas ni FPJ.
02:53.2
Diba? Tignan mo naman. Iba yun.
02:54.8
King of Philippine Cinema yun, na tumakbong bilang Pangulo, na marami pa rin naniniwala na siya nanalo.
03:02.5
Hindi natin alam. Another topic for another day.
03:05.6
A lot of people still believe that he got more votes.
03:08.4
And then, Senator Robin.
03:10.7
But you have to imagine that Senator Robin had more channels to be seen, to be visible, as compared to the recent exposure of Philip Salvador.
03:24.8
Maybe in any other election, Sir Philip, Boss Ipe, maybe in any other election or local election, Boss, malakas kayo dyan.
03:34.3
Ano yan? Good chance.
03:35.3
Pero kung pagiging senador, 25, good luck, Sir.
03:40.1
That's medyo pader tong mataas na pader ang sinusubukan ninyong tarikin, Nax.
03:48.1
Hindi ba siya kaya i-push dito sa paket, hindi naman sa bangin.
03:52.0
To use your metaphor.
03:54.8
Hindi ba siya kaya itulak nitong Duterte endorsement?
03:59.4
Hey, you know what? Why not?
04:00.8
And you know, we do know that Philip Salvador is an avid Duterte supporter.
04:07.8
Meron siyang fanbase kahit pa paano.
04:10.0
You add those factors.
04:11.5
Pero sa sobrang sikip, 17 million po ang magic number, at least in our agency.
04:18.6
If you want to gain a seat in the Senate, you're looking at a minimum.
04:24.8
So you have to now do the math.
04:28.4
Tignan mo, yung mga allied kay dating Pangulong Duterte, nakakuha ba sila ng, of course, not counting the Bongos and not counting the Senator Batos,
04:39.5
but based purely on the Duterte halo, is that enough to get 17 million votes?
04:47.7
At huwag po natin kakalimutan, electoral position is a four-legged bench.
04:53.6
It's man, it's messy.
04:54.8
It's message, it's machinery, and money.
04:57.3
Hindi hubiro ang resources, ang investment needed upang makapag-stage ka ng isang nationwide campaign.
05:10.0
Talagang kakaiba po ang resources.
05:12.6
Okay. Ito pa isa kong tanong, Alan.
05:14.9
Ganda ng pag-guest natin si Alan Herman.
05:17.4
Talagang ang dami natin na pupulot.
05:19.4
Ang ganda ng basa mo. Okay na? May laman ba?
05:24.8
Lamig-lamig. Kinikilig-kilig ako sa lamig dahil, alam mo, kahit anong ninalagay ko dito sa mug na ito, sumasarap.
05:33.0
Okay. Pantanggal ang sinok.
05:36.3
Okay. Okay, okay, okay. Ito yung tanong ko, no?
05:39.1
Artista. Ang ganda ng paliwanag mo, very nuanced, no?
05:41.9
Pero kung artista ka, mas madali bang ruta yung pagiging action star?
05:46.5
Kunwari kung gusto mong magsenador. Kasi puro action star, inasaan na natin ngayon, eh. Nasa Senado, eh.
05:51.5
Or baka mas mahirap ba pag drama king ka? O kaya comedian?
05:54.8
Well, you know, I will quote a great campaign strategist, the great campaign strategist before me who helped build the industry also, magandang gabi po, Tito Paul Aquino, whose very, very famous words, I'll never forget Tito Paul, who told me when I was a very young man,
06:15.6
Alan, there's only two ways to win an election. You make them laugh or you make them cry.
06:21.5
So, hindi, hindi...
06:24.8
Bad lang yun. Kung ikaw ay isang drama king o komedyante, baka nakakadagdag pa yun.
06:31.3
So, Ian, having said that, siguro, wink wink, nudge nudge, ano na lang natin yan, mag-text na na lang tayo dyan.
06:39.0
I think maybe that's a phenomenon worth examining. Bakit yung mga action star lang ang tumatakbo?
06:45.0
Bakit? Baka naman dahil may ibang rason. Baka dahil to take on a drama role or to take on a comedy role, maybe...
06:54.8
Requires more... I mean, I don't know. I don't want to fill in those blocks.
06:58.8
But, baka it's not a coincidence that...
07:02.9
Maganda pag-aralan, eh.
07:05.1
That run, that run. And I'm not saying it has anything to do with winability. No.
07:10.6
Because I'm sure in the past, kung tumakbo si... The Dolphy example is always the best example that we always use, di ba?
07:19.1
Ang yumaong king of comedy natin, si Dolphy.
07:24.8
Sinabing, pag tumakbo ko, siguradong mananalo ko. Pero ayokong tumakbo dahil baka mananalo ko.
07:32.9
Anong gagawin niya pag nanalo? That's a more important question.
07:36.2
Yung tanong ko kasi, ang context, ano ba yung mas madaling i-convert in terms of imaging or images?
07:42.0
Yung action star ka, mas madali ba siya i-convert into an effective image, let's say, as a future senator?
07:48.3
Or baka kung drama king ka, baka mas mahirap or kung comedian?
07:51.7
Mas yun yung iniisip ko rin, eh.
07:53.5
Ano na, great question.
07:55.9
Babalik tayo sa framework na, eto na naman tayo.
07:58.2
Ako, alam mo, baka naiinis na sa akin yung mga Paxnatics.
08:02.5
Babalik ba tayo sa framework na LAOS?
08:05.8
Nasa ano kayo, eh.
08:06.8
Nasa, parang kayo nasa principal's office, pag akong guest dito, eh.
08:10.3
Di ba, I'm hoping you heard in the past that only three types of candidates win in the Philippines.
08:17.1
Yung tinatawag nating head candidate, heart candidate, or gut candidate.
08:24.8
Ano yung gut candidate?
08:26.3
Unayin natin yung gut candidate.
08:27.8
Dahil yan po ang pinaka binoboto sa Pilipinas.
08:32.8
A gut candidate is somebody na pag nakita mo, ang isisigaw mo, idol!
08:38.7
Andiyan na si idol!
08:41.3
Magsiselfie ka, magkakagulo ka, tatakbo ka, titingin-tingin ka, yung mga babae nagtitilian, yung mga lalaki nagfistbumpan.
08:50.3
So, you think of politicians and you think who fits into that gut framework.
08:54.8
Maybe, it's not the GMA, for example, she's not a gut candidate, but you contrast that with the Robin Padilla, definitely is a strong gut candidate.
09:05.8
The next is a heart candidate.
09:07.9
Kaisa natin ito, relatability.
09:12.4
Alam nito, pinagdadaanan namin.
09:14.9
Parang kapamilya ko lang ito, parang kakilala ko ito.
09:17.6
You think of former Vice President Jojo Binay, di ba, who leveraged greatly on that.
09:23.8
Di ba, na he looks like the common man, he acts like the common man, behaves like the common man.
09:30.7
Finally, yung head candidate, yan ang pinaka hindi binoboto ng Pilipino, sadly, is the utility play.
09:38.8
Tingin ko, may plano ito, may magandang programa, makakatulong sa buhay ko, makatutulong sa kinabukasan ng pamilya ko, sa livelihood ko.
09:48.2
So, head, heart, and gut.
09:49.8
To your question, Ian, napakalungkot po. I don't make the rules.
09:53.8
I merely examine trend analytics and historical data.
09:59.5
Sadly, the head candidate may hangganan in terms of level of office.
10:06.1
Rarely do they ever, nowadays, rarely do they ever make pure head candidates, rarely ever go past Congress.
10:13.7
Yung gut candidate, hanggang panghulu yan.
10:18.1
Isa example siguro ng gut and heart candidate siguro si Erwin Tulfo.
10:23.8
Basta pagkasenador.
10:27.0
One million percent.
10:28.5
In fact, that is ingrained in their name.
10:33.0
Si Idol Raffi at si Idol Erwin.
10:37.5
Again, my common example, good evening, SecMar.
10:43.0
One of the people I admire the most.
10:45.2
Good evening, Secretary Mar.
10:47.2
And good evening, Abbey.
10:49.9
Attorney Abbey, boss.
10:51.7
But, you know, my example is always...
10:53.8
You know, when Mar Ross goes into a restaurant or walks in a mall,
10:59.8
the instinct is not to, you know, freak out and to run to him and buy him a beer or buy him lunch.
11:07.9
But there's a reverence.
11:09.2
Pag nakikita mo, ay, nandyan si Senator Mar or si Secretary, DILG Secretary Mar.
11:15.2
Contrast that to a Robin Padilla or a Tulfo na talagang wala.
11:18.9
Nagtitilihan ang mga tao.
11:20.1
People are standing up on their seats just to catch a glimpse.
11:23.8
So, PRRD is a great example.
11:27.1
Si former President Rodrigo Duterte, both a gut and a heart candidate.
11:32.8
Kung nagustuhan nyo po itong video na ito, pakilike at share na lang po para mas paraya pong makakita at makapanood.
11:38.6
Kung gusto nyo po makibalita, follow nyo na rin po ako sa aking mga social media accounts na nakasulat po sa screen.
11:44.6
Pwede rin po kayo magpadala ng super thanks, super likes, super chat at super stickers sa YouTube.
11:49.5
Saka Facebook stars po.
11:51.0
Alam nyo po, malayo po mararating ito para makagawa po.
11:53.8
Kami ng mas maraming video na makatutulong po sa pagpapakalat ng tamang impormasyon para sa bawat Pilipino.
12:00.9
Kada like, subscribe, follow at share ay pagsuporta po sa tunay na independent journalism sa bansa.
12:07.1
Maraming maraming salamat po.
